Should the model be proved correct, the result would be a huge disappointment for the Liberal Democrats, who have struggled to gain momentum in this election with an ardently pro-Remain platform. YouGov produced the model with a technique known as multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) , which uses polling data from the preceding seven days from 100,000 panellists across the country. The results are adapted for each candidate in each constituency, taking into account local political factors such as whether the seat is marginal and the status of the outgoingMP. The MRP model successfully predicted the outcome of the 2017 election, whereas regular opinion surveys had suggested the Tories were on course for a majority. Academics have warned that Britons are swapping party affiliations at an unprecedented rate as the country reorientates itself down pro-Brexit and anti-Brexit lines. Gallery: Boris Johnson: Career in pictures (Photo Services) Born Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson on June 19, 1964, he is the eldest son of Stanley Johnson, a British politician who was the Conservative MEP for Wight & Hampshire East from 1979 to 1984. Boris was schooled at Eton College, where he won a scholarship, and later at Balliol College, Oxford. He was also the president of the Oxford Union – a position previously held by former Prime Minister Edward Heath (1916-2005) and former Conservative leaderWilliam Hague. Of his time at The Telegraph, Johnson remarked; “Everything I wrote from Brussels was having this amazing, explosive effect on the Tory party, and it really gave me this, I suppose, rather weird sense of power”. In 1994, he became a political columnist for The Spectator, and later went on to become the editor of the magazine in 1999, a role he continued until 2005. Despite being embroiled in various scandals at the time, including the publication of an insensitive editorial about the city of Liverspool in The Spectator in 2003 and an alleged affair with a journalist, Johnson was re-elected as a Member of Parliament in 2005. Even after he was let go from his position as Shadow Minister for the Arts due to his alleged extramarital dealings, in 2005 he became the Shadow Minister for Higher Education after David Cameron was elected leader of the Conservative Party. The year 2008 saw Johnson become the Mayor of London after he was elected over two-time office holder, Ken Livingstone. A year before his term as Mayor ended in 2016, Johnson won the Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat and thus returned to Parliament in 2015.
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